Coaches’ Picks – Start ’em, Sit ’em Week 9

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Start ‘Em

Quarterbacks


Matthew Stafford @ OAK – Staffatron heads to Oakland to dismantle the Raiders through the air. OAK is 2nd in points allowed to opposing QBs, averaging 24.1 Fantasy Points Per Game. The entire Lions pass-catching arsenal is at your disposal this week.

Kirk Cousins @ KC – Captain Kirk cooled off last week against Washington, but is averaging nearly 25 FPPG over his last 4 contests. Thielen should be back, so the MIN offensive attack should be at full strength in Arrowhead. Patrick Mahomes has not yet been ruled out and was a limited participant at practice Wednesday. However, Matt Moore will likely draw the start, giving Mahomes one more week to recover, which slightly limits the upside and potential for a shootout.

Jimmy Garoppolo @ ARI – Handsome as he is, Jimmy G has been anything but a sexy play this year for fantasy. The 49ers defense has been insane and Nick Bosa is in the conversation for DPOY as a rookie. With the Cardinals up-tempo style, I do believe Jimmy could attempt more passes than he has the last two weeks (22, 21 att) and they are 1st in the league in points allowed to QBs, averaging 24.6 FPPG. If you’re in a pinch, I believe he should net you at least 15 fantasy points Thursday night.

Derek Carr vs DET – Derek Carr has quietly done everything asked of him in 2019 and has put together a respectable campaign, averaging 15.4 FPPG. The Lions are 6th in the league in points allowed, surrendering 21.6 FPPG, and now Carr has a healthy Tyrell Williams back in the mix. This game has not-so-sneaky shootout potential, with a 50 point O/U, currently 2nd highest total of the week.

Gardner Minshew vs HOU – Beowulf has returned to form since week 6 versus New Orleans. He’s averaging 19.69 (nice) points per game, and now he gets division rival, Deshaun Watson in London. The Texans just lost star JJ Watt and Watson suffered an eye injury last week, and they are giving up 21.5 points per game to QBs.

*Start of the Week – Russell Wilson vs TB

*Long shots of the Week – Sam Darnold @ MIA, Mitchell Trubisky @ PHI

Running Backs


Josh Jacobs vs DET – JJ gets the Lions at home, who are 3rd in points allowed to RBs, giving up 25.4 FPPG. While I’d love to see the Raiders target him more in the passing game, he’s seen 2 or 3 targets in nearly every contest and catches it every time. Fire up Jacobs with confidence this week.

Melvin Gordon vs GB – While it hasn’t been exciting, Melvin has produced a consistent 10 point floor the last 4 weeks. He’s been knocking off the rust after holding out into the season and missing training camp and has faced some stiff competition. I think he gets it going this week at home against the Packers run funnel defense (6th in points allowed, 21.6 fppg), after the Chargers recently relieved Ken Whisenhunt of his duties as O.C.

Tevin Coleman @ ARI – Have a game, Tevin Coleman. Coming off a monster 4 TD game, Coleman is firmly in play Thursday night in Arizona. The Cardinals allow 19.4 FPPG to RBs and the SF committee is looking a little slim with Breida, Mostert, and Wilson suffering injuries last week and exiting early, while FB Kyle Juszczyk has already been ruled out. On a short week, Coleman should absorb most of these touches, should Breida and/or Mostert be inactive, with Jeff Wilson, now healthy, working in some around the goal line.

Devin Singletary vs WAS – We may finally be seeing a changing of the guard in Buffalo. Singletary caught 4 of 6 balls for 30 yards and a touchdown and had 3 carries for 19 yards against the stout Philly defensive line. Frank Gore had 9 carries for 34 yards and wasn’t targeted at all in the passing game. Washington is 9th in points allowed, conceding 21.3 FPPG to RBs, I think Singletary has some upside this week.

Derrick Henry @ CAR – The Tractor heads to Carolina to plow the Panthers, who were just obliterated by Tevin Coleman for 4 TDs. CAR ranks 32nd in rushing DVOA and Arthur Smith showed his misguided affinity for the run game, slamming Henry into the Bucs’ top-shelf defensive line over and over.
Fun Fact: All 75 of Derrick Henry’s rushing yards last week came after first contact.

*Starts of the Week – Dalvin Cook @ KC, Aaron Jones @ LAC, Le’Veon Bell @ MIA

*Long shots of the Week – Austin Ekeler vs GB, Carlos Hyde vs JAX, Royce Freeman vs CLE

Wide Receivers


Stefon Diggs / *Adam Thielen @ KC – Thielen was a limited participant in practice Wednesday with a hamstring issue. It looks like he will suit up, so I like both MIN WRs this week in Kansas City, even though the Chiefs rank 26th in points allowed, averaging 18.9 FPPG to WRs. It’s likely Mahomes sits this one out, even though he hasn’t been officially ruled out yet. I believe Matt Moore looked good last week against the Packers strong secondary, and the Vikings secondary is actually a bit of a pass funnel, ranking 13th in points allowed (23.2 FPPG to WRs). This game could turn into a shoot-out, which bodes well for fantasy purposes.

Allen Robinson @ PHI – Despite his track record with mediocre QBs, ARob has shown he is a baller and it doesn’t matter who’s slinging it to him. With 69 (nice) targets on the year, Robinson boasts a near 70% completion percentage and has over 26% of his team’s market-share of targets. All 3 of his TDs this year have come in the red zone, where he’s seen a team-high 10 targets. Now he gets a dream matchup against the leagues worst passing defense. The Eagles, who are giving up 29.9 FPPG, are the definition of a pass-funnel. They have arguably the best defensive line in the league and teams cannot run on them, so, Trubisky will be forced to sling it.

Robby Anderson @ MIA – Robby has had arguably the toughest draw of CB match-ups to start the year. He survived the trade deadline, and now with Xavien Howard on IR, the speedy wide out looks to make up for lost time. The Dolphins allow the 6th most fantasy points to Wide Receivers, averaging 27.6 points per game.

Michael Gallup @ NYG – The G-Men are giving up 28.4 FPPG to WRs, which ranks 3rd most in the league. After falling flat against the Eagles, I expect Gallup and the Boys to bounce back and attack the Giants through the air.

Tyrell Williams vs DET – The Gazelle is back after missing the last few weeks with plantar fasciitis. He caught 3 of 6 for 91 yards and a touchdown last week against Houston. The Lions rank 10th in points allowed to WRs, giving up 24 FPPG. Fire him up in what projects to be a shoot-out.

*Starts of the Week – Kenny Golladay @ OAK, Tyler Lockett vs TB, DJ Chark vs HOU

*Long shots of the Week – Jamison Crowder @ MIA, Preston Williams vs NYJ, Anthony Miller @ PHI

Tight Ends


*Chris Herndon @ MIA – Should he suit up, Herndon’s debut couldn’t come at a better time. Gang Green heads to South Beach to dive into the #FishTank and will look to rebound after a grueling first half slate of games with a softer schedule moving forward.

T.J. Hockenson @ OAK – Hockamania? Hockness Monster? Hockatron? Whatever you wanna call him, he’s been largely disappointing this year outside of the Week 1 Arizona flowchart game. However, he’s still being targeted in the red zone at the same rate as Golladay and Jones. Marvin and Kenny have seen 10 looks each and both have 5 touchdowns. TJ, unfortunately, has only pulled down 3 of 9 targets for 1 touchdown. I sense some positive regression is coming for the rookie soon.

Darren Waller vs DET – The Walrus was saved by a TD last week, but only caught 2 balls for 11 yards on 8 targets. This week he heads to Motor City in a potential shoot-out with the Lions and should get back on track, since they give up an average of 8.1 FPPG to Tight Ends.

*Starts of the Week – George Kittle @ ARI, Evan Engram vs DAL

*Long shots of the Week – Greg Olsen vs TEN, Dallas Goedert vs CHI, Eric Ebron @ PIT

D/ST


Bills vs R-Words – There have been rumblings that Dwayne Haskins will make his first start this week in Buffalo. We know how strong the Bills defense is and saw what they did to Tom Brady, so, I can only imagine what awaits the rookie out of Ohio State.

Jets @ Dolphins – Ironically, the only team allowing more fantasy points to opposing defenses than the Dolphins (14.4 FPPG) are the Jets (16.6). However, the Jets will be hungry after getting embarrassed the past two weeks. I don’t think there are any ghosts in Miami, except maybe CB Xavien Howard, who was recently shut down and sent to the IR. Gase should keep his foot on the gas against his former team and Darnold should make quick work of the fins in this one with plenty of opportunities for turnovers with Fitzmagic still at the helm.

Broncos vs Browns – The Browns are 4th in points allowed to enemy defenses, surrendering 11.9 FPPG. The Browns have turned the ball over relentlessly and the Broncos are 30th in points allowed to opposing QBs, only giving up 11 points per game. After Chubb fumbled twice last week vs New England and Baker having twice as many interceptions than touchdowns, this doesn’t set up well for the Browns in the Mile High City.

*Long shots of the Week – Seahawks vs Buccaneers

Sit ‘Em

Quarterbacks


Daniel Jones vs DAL – Mr. Dimes finally looked good again last week against the Lions after throwing for four TDs. Don’t chase the points this week when he comes up against the Cowboys, who are giving up the 4th fewest points to QB’s this season at just 12.6 FPPG.

Baker Mayfield @ DEN – Did you know that Teddy Bridgewater, Marcus Mariota, Joe Flacco, and Jimmy Garoppolo have scored more fantasy points that Baker this season? Sit Mayfield this week against a defense allowing just 11.0 FPPG to opposing QB’s. (Which doesn’t sound bad relative to how little Baker has been scoring).

Ryan Tannehill @ CAR – Ryan “Not Mariota” Tannehill has actually been able to make that offense look good throughout these last two weeks and is averaging 19 FPPG. Expect that to change this week at Carolina, who ranks as the 5th best pass defense in the league.

Running Backs


Chris Carson vs TB – This is your last chance to sell high on Carson. His next five weeks: vs TB, @ SF, BYE, @ PHI, and vs MIN. You probably won’t be able to afford to sit him, but don’t expect much this week as he comes up against the #1 ranked rush defense in the league.

Mark Ingram vs NE – Ingram has been putting up pedestrian numbers this last month of football and is losing touches by the week. Sit him against the Pats who are allowing just 9 FPPG to RB’s.

Kenyan Drake vs SF – Drake finally got out of Miami, but unfortunately went straight to another subpar situation in Arizona. Don’t be too excited about his move, especially this week when they play Nick Bosa’s 49ers who give up the 3rd fewest points to RB’s this season at just 11.4 FPPG.

David Montgomery @ PHI – Nagy made good on his promise to get Monty more carries last week, after giving him the rock just twice the week before. He might get a good amount of carries this week, but it’ll be hard to get things going against the Eagles, who rank as the 8th best rush defense in the league.

Wide Receivers


Courtland Sutton vs CLE – Sutton has shown that he is a stud receiver that will be a force to be reckoned with throughout his career. Unfortunately for him, some guy named Brandon Allen will be under center this week for the Broncos AND Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams are back and healthy for the Browns.

Terry McLaurin @ BUF – Scary Terry has cooled off since his historical rookie start. He is not to be trusted in your lineup with rookie QB Haskins taking over and heading to Buffalo where receivers are less safe than tables. The Bills are giving up the 2nd least FPPG to WR’s at just 14.8

Corey Davis @ CAR – We thought Davis was going to break loose against Tampa last week and ended up utterly disappointed after watching him just miss out on a much bigger day. Sit him this week against the Panthers who rank as the 5th best pass defense in the league. (Corey, please prove me wrong. I am losing faith by the day).

Christian Kirk vs SF – Kirk came back from injury last week to a rich 11 targets. He is Kyler Murray’s favorite target, but look for the #1 ranked defense in San Fransisco to shut that connection down.

Tight Ends


Mark Andrews vs NE – Andrews has provided great value for owners who drafted him late this season. Though he has been dealing with some issues dropping the ball, he is still Lamar’s favorite target, but expect a slow day at the office for Andrews this week against the Pats who have allowed an average of just 3.6 FPPG to opposing TE’s.

Jimmy Graham @ LAC – Graham has been a TD dependent starter this season, but the chances he gets a TD this week are decreased since Rodger’s favorite target, Davante Adams, looks to finally make his return from a toe injury.

Vance McDonald vs IND – Vance has been extremely disappointing this season for fantasy owners. QB Mason Rudolph doesn’t seem to have a lot of trust in him and neither should you.

D/ST


Vikings @ Chiefs – Minnesota has the 5th ranked defense in the league, but has trouble translating that into fantasy points for owners. Don’t be fooled by the Mahomes injury, the Chiefs are still a scary offense.

Texans vs Jaguars – This game looks to be a shoot out with both offenses clicking. No JJ + going against Minshew = don’t start.

Bears @ Eagles – The Bears defense is still elite right? Sit them on the road against the Eagles who hung 31 on the Bills.