Coaches’ Picks – Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Week 12

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Start ‘Em

Quarterbacks


Matt Ryan vs TB – Don’t be concerned with Matty Ice’s absence from Wednesday’s practice, it’s just a day off for the vet, who’s suited up the past two weeks. Tampa Bay is allowing the 2nd most fantasy points to opposing QBs, averaging 23.6 FPPG. This game could shoot-out, with the highest O/U on the slate, set at 51.5.

Jacoby Brissett @ HOU – Jacoby returned last week and had a respectable performance against the Jags. Now he faces the Texans on the road, who are allowing the 6th most fantasy points to QBs (21.6). Without Marlon Mack, Jacoby will be forced to air it out and may finally have top option TY Hilton back.

Baker Mayfield vs MIA – Is this the first time we’ve advocated to start Baker Mayfield? What a time to be alive. Mayfield has strung together 3 startable weeks in a row now and gets a dreamy match-up at home against the Fins in week 12. Miami is allowing 22 FPPG to quarterbacks, but also just put S Reshad Jones on IR, so, Landry and OBJ could have a field day against this secondary with no reliable WR3 for the Browns after Callaway’s release.

Carson Wentz vs SEA – Wentz has been pedestrian the last several weeks, but Vegas expects this game to shoot out, with the second highest total on the slate at 48 o/u and a tight spread, where Philly is favored by 1.5 points. The Seahawks are giving up 18.8 FPPG to QBs.

Sam Darnold vs OAK – I guess Darnold called in a priest because the ghosts are gone. He’s scored over 20 fantasy points the last two weeks and now draws the Oakland Raiders, who are allowing 21.4 FPPG, 7th most in the league.

*Start of the Week – Russell Wilson @ PHI

*Long Shots of the Week – Jeff Driskel @ WASDwayne Haskins vs DET

Running Backs


Le’Veon Bell vs OAK – Lev is averaging 18.03 fantasy points over his last 3 games and has seen 15 targets. His schedule has gotten considerably easier and he’s started to produce. The Raiders are just barely outside the top 10 in points allowed to running backs, averaging 19.6 FPPG.

Ronald Jones II @ ATL – RoJo turned back into a pumpkin last week against the Saints, but I think he can bounce back against the Falcons in week 12. Arians has spoken highly of him and he’s seen an increased role in the passing game, which is encouraging. ATL is giving up 18.5 FFPG to RBs.

*Bo Scarbrough @ WAS – Bo walked in off the street and put up decent numbers against his former team last week. With the Lions RBs struggling to produce and stay healthy, Bo is in a smash spot against Washington (21.4 FPPG allowed), if he gets the bulk of the work. Ty Johnson looks like he’ll be back this week, but hasn’t been effective when handed the keys. This is a situation to monitor as we head into Sunday seeking some more clarity.

Derrius Guice vs DET – Guice is finally back baby. Last week he showed just how explosive he can be, even with limited touches. He had 7 carries for 24 yards and took his lone catch 45 yards to the house. Now he faces the softest run defense in the league, who are allowing 25.8 points per game to running backs.

Kareem Hunt vs MIA – Kareem the Dream has seen ~14 opportunities in each of last two games and has actually outscored Nick Chubb in PPR formats. With the game likely in hand, perhaps Hunt sees more carries down the stretch of this game against the Fish Tank, who are allowing 22 FPPG to RBs, 5th most in the league.

*Starts of the Week – Derrick Henry vs JAX, Alvin Kamara vs CAR

*Long Shots of the Week – Sony Michel vs NE, David Montgomery vs NYG

Wide Receivers


Calvin Ridley vs TB – With Mohamed Sanu gone and Austin Hooper and Devonta Freeman out with injuries, the law of conservation of targets has elevated Ridley. Last week he caught 8/8 for 143 and a touchdown against the Panthers, and now, he draws the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The Bucs are allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing WRs, averaging 31.7 FPPG. The targets should be heavily concentrated towards Ridley and Julio in this one, with a sprinkle of Russel Gage.

DK Metcalf @ PHI – With Tyler Lockett questionable, DK is primed for the spotlight against the Philly pass funnel. The Eagles are giving up 27 FPPG to WRs, 4th most in the league. Even if we are to believe Pete Carroll’s coach speak regarding Lockett, DK is still firmly in play.

Jamison Crowder vs OAK – Darnold loves Jamison Crowder, who’s been a target magnet. He’s averaged over 7.5 targets and 20 FPPG over the last 3 games. Oakland is giving up 25.7 FPPG to opposing wide outs, and Crowder’s role has proven quite secure, despite struggles from Robby Anderson.

Tyrell Williams @ NYJ – On the other side of this Jets/Raiders game, the Gazelle should have plenty of chances to produce against Gang Green, who are 3rd in the league in points allowed to WRs, averaging 27.2 FPPG.

Allen Robinson II vs NYG – Hopefully we see Chase Daniel in this one, but even Mitchell should be able to muster a respectable performance against this Giants secondary. Opposing WRs are averaging 27.5 FPPG, 2nd most in the league, against New York.

*Starts of the Week – *Odell Beckham Jr. vs MIA, *DJ Chark @ TEN

*Long Shots of the Week – Zach Pascal @ HOU, Josh Gordon @ PHI, Russell Gage vs TB

Tight Ends


Jacob Hollister @ PHI – Over his last two games in an expanded role, Hollister has caught 12/16 balls for 99 yards and 3 touchdowns. He’s earned the trust of Russell Wilson and is a legit weapon in this passing game.

Ryan Griffin vs OAK – Griffin has done nothing but smash when called upon. He went 5/5 for 109 and a tuddy against Washington. The Raiders are 3rd in points allowed to TEs, giving up 9.9 FPPG.

Mike Gesicki @ CLE – Gesicki has seen 6 targets in each of his last 3 games. Cleveland’s secondary is great on both sides, with young studs Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams, but they are exploitable in the middle of the field, where Gesicki does his damage.

*Starts of the Week – Zach Ertz vs SEA, Mark Andrews @ LAR

*Long Shots of the Week – Dallas Goedert vs PHI, Jack Doyle, @ HOU

D/ST


Bills vs Broncos

Steelers @ Bengals

Browns vs Dolphins

*Long Shots of the Week – Falcons vs Buccaneers

Sit ‘Em

Quarterbacks


Jimmy Garoppolo vs GB – Jimmy GQ looked great against Arizona last week when they leaned on him after being down early, but should come back to Earth this week when he goes against the Pack who give up the 9th fewest points to QB’s this season (15.1 FPPG). GB also have a soft run defense that the 49ers will look to exploit.  

Jared Goff vs BAL – Jared Goff was arguably the safest QB play in the 2018 season. This season it has been full of ups and downs, but after scoring 8 fantasy points combined these past two weeks, it should be an easy sit this week. Jared and the ghost of Cooper Kupp come up against a flaming hot Ravens team that kept Deshaun Watson to 4 fantasy points last week.

Daniel Jones @ CHI – Danny Dimes should be more like Danny Nickels this week when the G-Men head to Chicago to face the defense that just kept the aforementioned Goff to just 11 completions last week. The Bears have kept QB’s to an average of just 13.8 FPPG this season.

Running Backs


Chris Carson @ PHI – Carson has been an absolute workhorse this season, but he comes up against the 4th ranked rush defense this week and should have a hard time putting up points, unless he finds the end zone in short yardage. He has reached the status to where he shouldn’t be benched, even in a difficult match-up, but don’t expect a lot of production on the ground in this one.

Joe Mixon vs PIT – Joe has come back to life in his last three outings, but this week he faces an actual rush defense in the divisional rival Steelers. He’s hard to sit at the moment, but don’t be surprised if he puts up numbers similar to the ones he produced during the first half of the season. Pittsburgh allows the 6th fewest points to RB’s this season.

Devin Singletary vs DEN – Though he didn’t lose them, Devin fumbled twice last week in an easy matchup against Miami and also posted mediocre numbers. He is an easy sit this week against Denver who has managed to stop Nick Chubb and Dalvin Cook the last couple of weeks.

Devonta Freeman vs TB – In the case that Devonta Freeman comes back from injury this week, keep him on the bench. He comes up against Tampa Bay who has the second-ranked rush defense in the league, as well as giving up the second-fewest fantasy points to RB’s this season (11.5 FPPG). IF Devonta doesn’t play, then sit the fraud that is Brian Hill.

Wide Receivers


Amari Cooper @ NE – Amari only played 55% of snaps in last week’s game against the Lions after battling a knee injury. At the moment, it looks like he has “recovered” and is practicing, meaning that he is probably going to be in your starting lineup this week. However, his injury and match-up against Stephon Gilmore’s secondary, who give up the fewest points to WR’s, make him a really unattractive start this week.

John Brown vs DEN – John Brown balled out against the Fins last week and has been solid as a rock this season. This week should be the opposite of that, as he comes up against the 5th ranked pass defense that should give Josh Allen a lot of trouble. This match-up looks like a low scoring affair to me and one that I am personally trying to stay away from.

Tyler Boyd vs PIT – Since rookie Ryan Finley has taken over, the Bengals receiving corps has been terrible. Boyd should be stashed on the bench until further notice, especially when he comes up against a red hot Minkah Fitzpatrick.   

Golden Tate @ CHI – Tate has been an excellent fill-in for Sterling Shepard’s absence, but this week he will have a difficult time scoring fantasy points, regardless if Shepard comes back or not (at the moment it looks like Shepard will play). He will face the defense that gives up the second-fewest points to WR’s this season and should keep the rookie QB under pressure.

Tight Ends


Darren Waller @ NYJ – I remember reading that Darren Waller was the TE1 earlier in the season. I want to get in those guy’s fantasy leagues next season. He has been above average this last month of football, but this week he will have even more trouble scoring points when he comes up against the Jets defense that gives up the 3rd fewest fantasy points to TE’s this season at just 5.3 FPPG.

Jared Cook vs CAR – We hope you took our advice and started Jared Cook last week, but try to keep him on your bench for this week’s matchup against Carolina. The Panthers give up 5.3 FPPG to opposing TE’s this season and should keep Cook to low production. Look for the Saints to lean on the run game this game when they come up against the Panthers.

Jimmy Graham @ SF – Surprisingly, the Pats are not ranked the number one defense against TE’s; it’s the Niners. The Packers might opt for a better blocking TE this game to give Rodgers more time in the pocket against the superstar San Francisco defensive line.

D/ST


Rams vs Ravens – Lamar Jackson. That’s it. That’s the tweet.

Jets vs Raiders – The Raiders are sneaky good this season and have been giving out an average of 3.9 FPPG to opposing DST’s

Packers @ 49ers – We all know how good the 49er’s defense is, but Aaron Rodgers and Matt LaFleur’s offense has been tough to stop this season. Look for Aaron Jones to put up some numbers.