Coaches’ Picks – Start ‘Em, Sit ‘Em Week 13

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Start ‘Em

Quarterbacks


Kirk Cousins @ SEA – We’ll see Captain Kirk and Russ square off on Monday night in Seattle. Cousins has been hot lately and the Seahawks defense doesn’t really pose a challenge. They’re middle of the pack in terms of Points Allowed (PA) to QBs, averaging 18.1 fantasy points per game (FPPG), but this game has the 2nd highest total of the week set at 49 o/u and SEA only favored by 3.

Nick Foles vs TB – Big Dick Nick has looked pretty average since returning from injury, dropping back to back divisional games to the Colts and Titans. This week, he’s in a get right spot at home vs the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are 2nd in PA to QBS, averaging 22.8 FPPG.

Derek Carr @ KC – It would appear the Raiders finally turned back into a pumpkin after getting ravaged by the Jets last week. Carr was pulled with the game out of reach and only mustered 5 fantasy points. This week certainly won’t be any easier in Arrowhead against the high octane KC Chiefs, but the Raiders will be fighting for their wildcard lives and Carr will have to sling it to keep up. The Chiefs are just inside the top 10 in PA to opposing QBs, averaging 19.6 FPPG.

Ryan Tannehill @ IND – Tannewheels curbstomped the Jaguars last week, completing 14/18 passes for 259 yds and 2 TDs and ran for another 40 yds and 2 TDs. Since Tannehill became the starter, only Lamar Jackson has averaged more fantasy points per game. I suggest you let that marinate, pal.

Sam Darnold @ CIN – Darnold already missed 4 games with mono, will he miss any more due to an STD after getting wasted and hooking up with a rando after beating the Raiders? Maybe he really is the next Joe Namath. The Bengals are 4th in PA to QBs, but might actually be trying to win a game after renaming Andy Dalton as the starter??? The Red Rifle will rise like a phoenix from the ashes to keep this a competitive game, resulting in an offensive clinic. Take the over on this one (41.5 o/u). I’m only half kidding.

*Start of the Week – Aaron Rodgers @ NYG

*Long Shots of the Week – Carson Wentz @ MIA, Jared Goff @ ARI

Running Backs


Josh Jacobs @ KC – Kansas City is first in PA to opposing RBs, averaging just over 25 points per game. I’m hoping last week was a fluke, because we saw Jacobs take a downturn after seeing 10 carries and only 1 target, with the game out of hand. Back in Week 2 when these teams first met, Jacobs went for 99 rushing yards, but saw 0 targets. After his development and acclimation, we’ve seen his role grow, so, I’m hoping we’re in for a big game here from JJ.

Le’Veon Bell @ CIN – I vividly remember someone telling me that Kalen f#$king Ballage would be a better start ROS than Lev Bell. I think it’s safe to say home boy probably missed the playoffs. People forget the Jets had an incredibly difficult schedule to open things up and it’s important not to overreact to these things, but Bell, Darnold and co. have shown up since Week 9 and continue to produce. Cincinnati ranks 6th in PA to RBs, averaging 22.6 FPPG, so continue to ride Bell’s hot hand.

Phillip Lindsay vs LAC – It appears something is wrong with Royce Freeman, though I have no idea what. Lindsay continues to distance himself and the touch distribution only widens each week. The Bolts are 8th in PA to RBs, avg. 21.6 FPPG. Last time @ LA in Week 5, Lindsay torched them for 27.7 fantasy points. Now he gets them at home in Mile High.

David Montgomery @ DET – I know Monty’s been quiet the last 3 weeks, but he’s still seen double digit carries and 6 targets in his last two games. On the road in Detroit, look for Chicago to lean on their defense and run game, while the Lions run out 3rd stringer Dave Blough at QB. Not to mention, the Lions are 2nd in PA to RBs, avg. 24.3 FPPG.

*Starts of the Week – Saquon Barkley vs GB, Alvin Kamara @ ATL

*Long Shots of the Week – Miles Sanders @ MIA, Melvin Gordon @ DEN

Wide Receivers


Allen Robinson II @ DET – Imagine if ARob didn’t have Blake Bortles and Mitchell Trubisky as his quarterbacks. This man doesn’t get nearly enough credit for what he’s been able to accomplish during his tenure in the league. I don’t expect the Lions to put up much of a fight in this one with their 3rd string QB, and Nagy was able to scheme ARob open against Slay last time these two teams met. With no Taylor Gabriel or a TE we’ve heard of, the targets should be heavily concentrated to Robinson and Miller in this one.

Calvin Ridley vs NO – With Hooper out and Sanu’s departure, Ridley has been on fire and seen a massive share of targets. He’s seen 22 targets over his last 2 games, resulting in 53 fantasy points. With Julio Jones and Marshon Lattimore questionable, I like Ridley’s chances again this week against the Saints, who are top 10 in PA to WRs, averaging 24.9 FPPG.

DK Metcalf vs MIN – DK only caught 3 balls for 35 yards last week, but dropped a wide open touchdown that was played on a loop on network television. With Lockett still less than 100% after spending time in the hospital, look for Metcalf to continue to command targets against this Minnesota pass funnel, who are allowing 25.9 FPPG to WRs.

Devante Parker vs PHI – Like it or not, Parker has been one of the most consistent WRs in fantasy this year. He’s a super safe WR2, and presents a higher ceiling since Preston Williams was sent to IR. The Eagles are 5th in PA to WRs, avg. 26.4 FPPG. Continue to fire him up with confidence.

AJ Brown @ IND – AJ Brown broke out all over the place last week, again, for 135 yds and a touchdown. If you didn’t roster him already, hopefully you were able to scoop him off waivers. Now he heads to Lucas Oil to take on the Colts, who just let Hopkins and Fuller go wild for combined 234 yds 2 TDs and DJ Chark for 104 yards and 2 TDs the week prior.

*Starts of the Week – Davante Adams @ NYG, Tyreek Hill vs OAK, DJ Chark vs TB

*Long Shots of the Week – Dede Westbrook vs TB, Mecole Hardman vs OAK, Kelvin Harmon @ CAR

Tight Ends


Jared Cook @ ATL – Since Week 5, Jared Cook has scored double digit fantasy points in every game he’s played. Last time these two teams met, Cook caught 6/10 for 74 yards. With no apparent WR2 in New Orleans, Cook has been a focal point in the passing game behind Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara.

Dallas Goedert @ MIA – With the Philly receiving corps ravaged by injuries, Goedert has had to step up in a big way for the Eagles. He’s averaged 7 targets a game over his last 4, and now Zach Ertz popped up on the injury report and missed practice Wednesday with a hamstring injury. Even if he does suit up, Goedert is still firmly in play against the Dolphins, who allow 26.8 FPPG to WRs and 7.3 to TEs.

Greg Olsen vs WAS – Old Greg has seen 5 or more targets in each of the last 4 games. He’s been incredibly solid for fantasy owners averaging just over 10 points per game. 8th ranked WAS allows 8.1 FPPG to TEs.

*Starts of the Week – Darren Waller @ KC, Hunter Henry @ DEN

*Long Shots of the Week – Tyler Higbee @ ARI, Irv Smith @ SEA

D/ST


Jets @ Bengals – Somehow the Jets are averaging nearly 9 FPPG and now face the Bengals who allow nearly 12 FPPG to opposing defenses/special teams. Andy Dalton is slated to make his return, but we saw what he did before the bye.

Jaguars vs Buccaneers – After getting embarrassed their past 2 games, look for the Jags to rebound at home against Jameis Winston, who leads the league with 20 interceptions.

Panthers vs Washington – Anytime you can pick on a rookie QB on the road, you take advantage. The Panthers have looked good defensively and average 8.5 FPPG. They’ve had 3 tough match-ups in a row, but look for them to bounce back this week at home vs Haskins.

*Long Shots of the Week – Cardinals vs Rams, Broncos vs Chargers

Sit ‘Em

Quarterbacks


Philip Rivers @ DEN – Ol’ man Philip Rivers might just be washed up. He continues to disappoint this season. He is an easy sit this week against the Broncos defense that gives up the 4th fewest fantasy points to QB’s this season at just 13.4 FPPG, which actually doesn’t too bad for Rivers at the moment.

Josh Allen @ DAL – Josh “Big Hands” Allen has been a fantasy football stud since the second half of last season. He continues to put up numbers but this week he comes up against the Cowboys defense that looked good last week and kept Tom Brady to just 11.30 fantasy points. Dallas also has been giving up the 8th fewest fantasy points to QB’s and tends to shine on Turkey Day.

Jimmy Garoppolo @ BAL – Jimmy has been even hotter than his usual self lately, but I don’t feel great about starting him against the even hotter Ravens team that has been tearing opponents in half lately. This should be a great game to watch, but don’t expect much from Jimmy GQ this week as the Ravens give up the 5th fewest points to QB’s this season (13.7). The Flock have given up 8.34 fantasy points COMBINED to Jared Goff and Deshaun Watson over the last two weeks.

Running Backs


Chris Carson vs MIN – We hope you listened to us when we said to sell high on Chris Carson earlier in the season. Was last week at Philly the changing of the guard? That is yet to be determined, but what is certain is that Rashaad Penny has earned himself a larger role in that offense. Carson very well may have finally fumbled his job away. Sit him this week while he splits carries in a difficult match-up against the Viking’s 6th ranked rush defense.

Joe Mixon vs NYJ – Mixon got a good rushing workload last week against the Steelers, but getting zero targets is extremely concerning. Just as he was starting to be the back drafters thought he would be back in August, he comes straight back down to being a TD dependent start. If you can afford to, sit him this week when he comes up against the number one ranked rush defense in the league.

Leonard Fournette vs TB – We understand that there is no way that you sit Fournette this week, unless you’re just loaded at RB. Regardless, it’s very likely that he doesn’t score many points this week against Tampa Bay’s run defense that gives up the 2nd fewest points to RB’s this season (11.6 FPPG). I wouldn’t expect more than 10 points this week and if you need a high upside play to get into the fantasy playoffs, he isn’t it.

Tevin Coleman @ BAL – Oh how disappointing Coleman has been since he broke loose earlier in the season after coming back from injury. He is a TD dependent RB2 play that’s been getting ~11 carries a game lately. Keep him on the bench this week when the Niner’s are going to have to throw to keep up with Lamar Jackson.

Wide Receivers


Amari Cooper vs BUF – Our shock sit at the WR position was Amari Cooper last week and he proved us right by laying a goose egg. Try to keep him on the bench again this week when he faces lockdown CB Tre’Davious White on a short week. I am suspecting Amari is playing through an injury and will play more of a decoy role like he did this past weekend against New England.

Keenan Allen @ DEN – Denver gives up the 8th fewest points to WR’s this season. I see Rivers continuing to struggle in this match-up. I wouldn’t trust any Chargers this week besides both the RB’s and Hunter Henry.

Will Fuller vs NE – Even though Stephon Gilmore should stay on Hopkins, the rest of the Pats secondary will attempt to minimize Fuller’s playmaking ability. There is always a chance Fuller breaks off a 50 yarder, but I think the chances are very low against the defense allowing the least amount of fantasy points to WR’s this season, at just 12.3 FPPG.

John Brown @ DAL – John Brown is quietly putting up low-end WR1 numbers this season. His schedule starts to look rough from this point out and, in my opinion, he’s worthy of a spot on the bench this week against the Cowboys defense that gives up the 5th fewest points to WR’s (17.4 FPPG) Only start John Brown if you want to have a player to watch this Thanksgiving.

Tight Ends


Mark Andrews vs SF– Marky Mark Andrews is a boom or bust TE, but he plays with Lamar Jackson, so his booms are pretty nutty and frequent. I think he looks to be a bust this week against the number one TE defense in the league that has been giving up just 3.1 FPPG to TE’s this season.

Noah Fant vs LAC – The rookie finds himself in a tough matchup this week versus the Chargers defense that should give QB Brandon Allen OR Drew Lock lots of trouble. The Chargers give up the 5th fewest points to TE’s this season, making Fant an easy sit this week.

Mike Gesicki vs PHI– Mr. Gesicki goes up against the Eagles defense this Sunday that has actually been good against TE’s. The Eagles give up the 5th most points to WR’s this season, but give up the 6th fewest points to TE’s. Look for Fitzpatrick to air it out this week, just not to Gesicki.
*Albert Wilson has entered the chat

D/ST


Chiefs vs Raiders – Gruden’s Raiders looked absolutely awful last week, but look for them to bounce back and attempt to keep up with Patty Mahomes. Josh Jacobs should eat this week.

49ers @ Ravens – I don’t care that it’s the 49ers. Sit them against Lamar Jackon’s Ravens, who’s shown no regard for the Patriots or Rams.

Bills @ Cowboys – The Bills haven’t played an elite offense all season and come up against the offense giving up the 2nd fewest points to DST’s this week in Dallas. I would stay away from the Bills this week and next week as well when they play the Ravens.