Austin’s Week 12 DFS Player Pool
|$Russell Wilson||$Julio Jones||$Christian McCaffrey||$Zach Ertz||Patriots|
|Matt Ryan||*Tyler Lockett||$Alvin Kamara||Darren Waller||Giants|
|Jameis Winston||$Mike Evans||$Saquon Barkley||$Jacob Hollister||Broncos|
|Derek Carr||Chris Godwin||Ezekiel Elliot||Ryan Grififn||Bengals|
|Baker Mayfield||Odell Beckham Jr||Leonard Fournette||$Dallas Goedert||Cowboys|
|Sam Darnold||$Calvin Ridley||$Derrick Henry||$Mike Gesicki|
|$Carson Wentz||DJ Chark||Kareem Hunt||Kaden Smith|
|$Jeff Driskel||$DK Metcalf||$Phillip Lindsay|
|Nick Foles||Jarvis Landry||Ronald Jones|
|Jamison Crowder||$Derrius Guice|
|Tyrell Williams||James White|
|Kenny Golladay||Patrick Laird|
|Robby Anderson||Jay Ajayi|
|$JJ Arcega Whiteside|
$ Denotes Cash Viable
* Indicates Questionable or Situation to Monitor
|GPP Game Stacks|
AJ Brown/C Davis
Russell Wilson ($6,800) @ PHI – In the conversation for MVP, Russell Wilson is too cheap this week if you ask me. We paid almost $1k more for Lamar last week, so this is a nice discount. Philadelphia is the ultimate pass funnel defense, so Schottenheimer will be forced into letting Russ off the leash after running Carson into a brick wall for a couple of series. Lockett doesn’t carry an injury designation, so Seattle’s pass attack will be at full strength with Russ throwing to Lockett, Metcalf, Gordon, and Hollister? Yes, please.
Carson Wentz ($5,600) vs SEA – Carson Wentz is incredibly cheap this week almost to a disrespectful level. I know all of his WRs are dead, but still. This game projects to be one of the highest scoring games of an incredibly ugly slate. With a 47.5 O/U, Philly is favored by 1 at home. The ‘Hawks are allowing nearly 19 FPPG on average to QBs. Seattle also gets gashed at TE, 6th in points allowed, and the Eagles have been running a lot of 2 TE sets with Ertz and Goedert pretty successfully.
Jeff Driskel ($5,500) @ WAS – Another week of Jeff Driskel, baby. Last week against Dallas, Driskel shined throwing for just over 200 yards and 2 TDs and rushed for 51 yards and another tuddy. He’s firmly in play again this week in cash at a reasonable price tag, but you don’t have to stack him. Washington allows ~19 FPPG on average to QBs, arguably the easiest match-up he’s had thus far.
Christian McCaffrey ($10,500) @ NO – Without any glaring value plays, it’s really tough for me to justify playing CMC in cash this week. It can be done, but you have to get really thin at WR, and I’ve given you the keys to do so. New Orleans is tough on RBs (30th in points allowed–avg. 11.7 FPPG), and I know he’s match-up proof, but it’s just a lot easier for me to start my lineup with AK on the other side of the ball for $2,300 less.
Alvin Kamara ($8,200) vs CAR – Kamara is at home in the dome and gets a dream match-up with the Panthers, who are 3rd in points allowed to RBs, averaging 24.3 FPPG. He saw 10 targets in both games since his return and hung 22.2 DK points on TB last week without finding the end zone. AK’s only seen pay dirt twice this year, so, expect some positive regression, in that regard, as early as this week.
Derrick Henry ($6,900) vs JAX – Listen, the Tractor’s power only grows as December draws near. We’ve all seen the 99 yard touchdown run against the Jags last year. The people love to tell me Henry’s long TDs aren’t sustainable, but he continues to do so. He’s a threat to score every time he touches the ball. Henry has nearly 700 career yards from scrimmage vs Jacksonville since entering the league in 2016. Not to mention, he’s a nice $6,900 on Draft Kings. The stars have all aligned, I don’t know what else to tell you man. Death, taxes, and play the Tractor against the Jags.
Derrius Guice ($4,700) vs DET – We finally got to see Guice in action last week, as he knocked the rust off against the Jets. He showed of his explosiveness for 69 yards and a touchdown on 8 touches. This week, he’s in a smash spot against the Lions, who are 1st in points allowed to opposing RBs, averaging over 25 points per game. Adrian Peterson hasn’t practiced this week and is highly questionable with a toe injury. Chris Thompson was a limited participant, but is also pretty questionable with a toe injury, potentially leaving the lion-share of carries + targets for Guice. Wheels up, baby.
Calvin Ridley ($6,500) vs TB – With Mohamed Sanu gone and Austin Hooper + Devonta Freeman out with injuries, the law of conservation of targets has elevated Ridley. Last week he caught all 8 of his targets for 143 yards and a touchdown. Now, he draws the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, who are allowing the most fantasy points in the league to opposing WRs, averaging 31.7 FPPG. The targets should be heavily concentrated towards Ridley and Julio in this one, with a sprinkle of Russel Gage.
DK Metcalf ($6,300) @ PHI – It’s clear DK has become a favorite for Russell Wilson, seeing ~10 targets in each of the 2 games prior to the bye. With Lockett active but recovering, I like Metcalf to see perhaps an even more expanded role. Philly’s pass funnel is 4th in the league in points allowed to WRs, giving up 27 FPPG. This is one of the game’s I want a lot of exposure to, and I’ll take it anywhere I can get it. I also don’t mind Josh Gordon priced down at $4,200 with another week of practice to get acclimated and build rapport with Wilson.
Hunter Renfrow ($4,500) @ NYJ – The emergence of Renfrow as his team’s second option in the passing game has come at the expense of Darren Waller. Renfrow has seen 5.5 targets a game over the last 4 weeks and has scored 2 touchdowns during that span. The Jets are 3rd in the league in points allowed to opposing WRs, averaging 27.2 FPPG. He’s a great cash play at only $4,500 and a higher ceiling than you’d think.
Russell Gage ($3,900) vs TB – If you’re looking for cheap exposure to this game, look no further. Gage has stepped up and filled the Sanu role quite nicely. He’s seen 18 targets over his last three games and this is the game to target, according to Vegas. Sporting a 52 O/U and ATL only favored by 3.5, this will be quite a chalky game and if you’re jamming in Julio/Ridley or Evans/Godwin, Gage makes for a nice complementary piece and offers some savings.
N’Keal Harry ($3,300) vs DAL – Literally every WR for the New England Patriots is listed as questionable for this one, so Daddy may finally get his chance. Last week in his first game, he caught 3 of 4 balls for 18 yards and played 43% of snaps. He could be poised for a much larger role this week with Sanu and Dorsett likely out and Edelman banged up. Pay close attention the inactives come Sunday.
Zach Ertz ($6,000) vs SEA – If you’re paying up, it’s for Zach Ertz this week. With a WR corps continuously ravaged by injuries, Carson Wentz has looked his way 22 times the past two games. The Seahawks are top 5 in points allowed to tight ends, so Ertz and Goedert ($3,700) should both get theirs on Sunday in this potential shoot out.
Jacob Hollister ($4,300) @ PHI – Over his last two games in an expanded role, Hollister has caught 12/16 balls for 99 yards and 3 touchdowns. He’s earned the trust of Russell Wilson and is a legit weapon in this passing game. In what should be a high scoring game, I don’t mind playing him to get contrarian, as I expect Ertz and Goedert to be the chalk on the other side of the ball.
Mike Gesicki ($3,400) @ CLE – Gesicki has seen 6 targets in each of his last 3 games. Cleveland’s secondary is great on both sides, with young studs Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams, but they are exploitable in the middle of the field, where Gesicki does his damage.
Bengals ($2,100) vs PIT – Mason Rudolph has looked less than stellar this year and has yet to eclipse 20 fantasy points. Now, he’s down virtually all of his offensive weapons, yet the Steelers are somehow favored on the road by a touchdown? I don’t know about it, chief. I wouldn’t be shocked if this game ended up being 10-7 with the Bengals escaping with their first, and likely only, win of the season.